B5 - Coping with Climate-Related Uncertainties and Variabilities
Project B5 takes a comprehensive stance at the role of uncertainties on climate-related decisions. On one hand, decision criteria need to allow for both epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty and still be normatively appealing. On the other hand, it is crucial to understand how individuals and groups deal with uncertainties when making climate relevant (or policy) decisions. For this, it is important to understand how uncertainties are perceived and how diverse ways of communicating uncertainties affect decisions. Project B5 is structured in three working packages. WP 1 targets developing consistent decision criteria that also allow to integrate behavioral (economic) insights. WP 2 considers how diverse actors handle uncertainties and variability. WP 3 uses these insights to create scenarios that take into account climate and social dynamics.
Project B5 contributes to CLICCS’ overall objective by investigating how uncertainties and variabilities in natural and social processes interact and by prototypically generating more plausible scenarios of climate futures, hereby integrating and complementing process- or stakeholder-based knowledge from A6, B, and C.
Team: Vito Avakumović (UHH), Johanna Baehr (UHH), Maksud Bekchanov (UHH), Michael Berlemann (HSU), Michael Brüggemann (UHH), Moritz Drupp (UHH), Anke Gerber (UHH), Katharina Kleinen-von Königslöw (UHH), Jörg Knieling (HCU), Chao Li (MPI-M), Aljoscha Minnich (UHH), Grischa Perino (UHH), Hauke Roggenkamp (HSU), Michael Tanner (UHH), Stefan Traub (HSU), Martin Wickel (HCU), Cathrin Zengerling (HCU)